Revenue Decomposition · Interview Question
A client's revenue per customer is rising but total revenue is falling. What's the most likely explanation?
How to answer
Rising revenue per customer with falling total revenue means customer count is declining faster than per-customer spend is growing. Mathematically: if ARPU grows 10% but customers decline 20%, revenue drops ~12% (1.1 x 0.8 = 0.88). Most likely causes: (1) the company lost price-sensitive customers and retained high-value ones, creating survivorship bias in ARPU, (2) aggressive upselling compensates per-customer but acquisition has stalled, (3) a competitor entered and captured the volume segment. The key insight is that rising ARPU can be a vanity metric masking a shrinking customer base. Always look at both sides of the revenue equation simultaneously.
Key idea: Revenue = Customers x ARPU; one can mask the other
Related Revenue Decomposition questions
- A B2B software product saves clients $500K/year. How would you set the price using value-based pricing?
- A company has $5M in fixed costs and a 40% contribution margin. What's the break-even revenue?
- A company has 40% gross margins but negative EBITDA. Where would you look?
- A company wants to add a $2M advertising campaign. CM% is 25%. What incremental revenue is needed to justify it?